PREVIEW v2 · story-arc iteration · compare to /preview (snapshot) · go to live site →
01 · The thesis

Communications decisions are
judgment calls, not data calls.

Media monitoring tools count mentions, graph sentiment, alert on volume. AI tools summarize the chaos. None of it is judgment. A hundred years of research — frame analysis, crisis tiers, decision under uncertainty — named every pattern that matters. The tools ignore all of it.

So we built one that doesn't.

02 · The principles

Five beliefs that shape
every part of the platform.

These aren't features. They're opinions we're willing to defend. Each one explains a specific design choice, and each one is anchored in research the field has had access to for decades.

01

Dissent is informative.

When five analysts disagree, the disagreement is data, not noise. Aggregating it away — averaging, voting, taking the median — destroys the signal that matters most. The dissenters are usually the ones seeing something the consensus missed. Our council protocol requires dissenters to defend their position, not capitulate; the verdict moves with the defenders, not against them.

menu_book

Knight (1921) on decision-under-uncertainty

02

Restraint is a move.

The hardest call in comms is not responding. Most tools push toward action — more alerts, more recommendations, more monitoring. We treat stand down as a documented prescribed move, with the same rigor as any other. “This looks bad but it’s Tuesday” is the position monitoring tools refuse to take. Our chronic-band detection makes it defensible.

menu_book

Coombs (SCCT, 2007) on tier-appropriate response

03

Reasoning must be visible.

A verdict you can’t pull apart is a verdict you can’t defend. Every line on a state card traces to the analyst takes, the source mentions, the doctrine pack, the prior re-evaluations. “The tool said so” is not a defense for a board meeting. “Here’s the trail” is.

menu_book

Epistemic logic + audit-trail literature in decision sciences

04

Patterns have names.

Brand polarization is a known shape with a documented playbook. So is the narrative-seed pattern, the chronic band, the hockey-stick spike, the frame-drift acceleration, the peak-and-fade. The literature has named these. Our doctrine packs make them operational. Almost everything fits a pattern we can name and a research anchor we can cite.

menu_book

Goffman (1974) frame analysis · Reichheld (HBR 2003) · Entman (1993) on framing

05

Continuous beats periodic.

The state of a brand changes throughout the day. A morning report misses the afternoon shift. A weekly digest misses everything. Our scan cadences run continuously, scaling tighter as escalation increases — daily for stable entities, every hour during crises. The artifact is always current because the underlying system is.

menu_book

Decision velocity research · real-time situational awareness literature

03 · The doctrine library

Patterns the field has named —
and what they would have called.

The research literature has been naming comms patterns for decades. Bud Light's polarization in 2023 was the same shape Reichheld documented in 2003. United Airlines' 2017 frame-drift was the velocity Iyengar described in 1991. We translated the work into operational doctrine the platform applies in real time. Here are five — paired with the canonical case where each pattern played out.

Bud Light × Dylan Mulvaney · 2023
Case study
2023
Bud Light × Dylan Mulvaney
Brand polarization pattern
Doctrine pack · 01
Brand polarization

Two audience camps amplify in parallel. Defender coverage and detractor coverage grow simultaneously without overlap. Word-of-mouth runs higher on the detractor side.

menu_book

Research anchor: Reichheld · "The One Number You Need to Grow" · Harvard Business Review · 2003

Operational doctrine

When polarization is detected, a single statement reaches neither camp. The prescribed move is prepare two distinct positions — one defender-anchored, one detractor-pacifying — and ship them through different channels.

show_chartThe signal · Audience split · 72h after partnership announced
Defenders+32%
7 days
Detractors+36%

Camps growing in parallel. No overlap.

The case
Bud Light × Dylan Mulvaney
· 2023

Polarization that one statement could not resolve

What happened

A single Instagram partnership triggered audience polarization within 72 hours. Bud Light's eventual response (a vague "we never intended to be part of a discussion that divides people" statement) reached neither camp. Defender audience felt unsupported; detractor audience saw it as a non-apology. Sales dropped 28% over six months.

What the platform would have surfaced

By day 3, polarization pattern detected. Audience-split confirmed across 40+ mainstream and social sources. Verdict: Polarized. Prescribed move: prepare two distinct responses — one affirming the partnership intent (defender), one clarifying the brand's broader stance (detractor neutral) — shipped through separate channels. Single threading-the-needle statement explicitly flagged as the failure mode the research had already documented.

Tylenol cyanide poisoning · 1982
Case study
1982
Tylenol cyanide poisoning
Crisis ladder pattern
Doctrine pack · 02
Crisis ladder

Crisis severity is tiered, not continuous. Each tier prescribes a specific class of action. Misreading the tier — under-responding to a Tier 4, over-responding to a Tier 2 — is the dominant failure mode.

menu_book

Research anchor: Coombs · "Situational Crisis Communication Theory" · 2007

Operational doctrine

The verdict label maps to the tier. Tier 4 (life-safety, regulatory) requires decisive action — recall, transparent investigation, CEO front-facing response. Tier 1-2 require restraint or holding statement only.

show_chartThe signal · Tier ladder · hour 6 of first reported death
Tier 1
Monitor
Tier 2
Holding
Tier 3
Public
Tier 4
Recall · CEO

Tier matched to action. Restraint at low tiers, decisive at Tier 4.

The case
Tylenol cyanide poisoning
· 1982

Canonical Tier-4 response, formalized 25 years later

What happened

Seven deaths linked to cyanide-laced Tylenol capsules. Johnson & Johnson recalled 31 million bottles, halted production, redesigned tamper-evident packaging, accepted a $100M+ loss. The response is now the canonical example of Tier 4 crisis communication.

What the platform would have surfaced

By hour 6 of the first reported death linked to the product, verdict = Crisis, tier = 4 (life-safety + regulatory). Prescribed move: full recall, public CEO statement within 24 hours, transparent investigation announcement, packaging redesign commitment. The audit trail would have made the board defense mechanical — the doctrine matched the action.

United Airlines · passenger dragging · April 2017
Case study
April 2017
United Airlines · passenger dragging
Narrative-seed velocity pattern
Doctrine pack · 03
Narrative-seed velocity

A specific frame — a way of describing an event — gets planted in early coverage and accelerates if not interrupted. Once velocity crosses a threshold, the frame is durable for weeks.

menu_book

Research anchor: Iyengar · "Is Anyone Responsible? How Television Frames Political Issues" · 1991 · Entman · Journal of Communication · 1993

Operational doctrine

Detect frame velocity (how fast a specific framing is spreading) and frame breadth (how many sources are adopting it) early. When both cross threshold, the prescribed move is intervene before hardening — typically a holding statement within 8 hours of detection, full response within 24.

show_chartThe signal · Frame velocity · first 36 hours after video posted
0h8h threshold36h · United's response

Frame velocity crossed threshold at hour 8. United responded at hour 36.

The case
United Airlines · passenger dragging
· April 2017

36-hour response delay let the frame harden

What happened

Passenger David Dao was forcibly removed from an overbooked flight. Video posted ~6 hours after the incident. United's first response (a CEO email saying "re-accommodate") landed 36 hours later. By that point the "violent corporate giant abusing passenger" frame had hardened across global mainstream coverage. United's stock dropped ~$1B.

What the platform would have surfaced

Hour-3 signal: frame velocity accelerating beyond chronic baseline. Hour-6 doctrine: frame-seed pattern detected, breadth crossing thematic threshold. Verdict: Watch → Crisis (escalating). Prescribed move: full CEO statement within 8 hours, not 36. United's delay was 28 hours past the doctrine's threshold.

Pepsi × Kendall Jenner · 2017
Case study
2017
Pepsi × Kendall Jenner
Pre-flight polarization screening pattern
Doctrine pack · 04
Pre-flight polarization screening

Some campaigns are predictable polarization triggers before they ship — when they pair a brand with cause-adjacent imagery that splits the audience. Frame-analytic screening can flag the risk pre-launch.

menu_book

Research anchor: Goffman · Frame Analysis · 1974

Operational doctrine

When a planned campaign pairs brand with politically or culturally divisive imagery, the doctrine flags polarization risk pre-launch. Prescribed move: either redesign for unified reach or position as polarized from launch with two distinct messages prepared.

show_chartThe signal · Pre-launch frame-analytic screen
Cause-adjacency
8.5
Audience split risk
7.8
Frame ambiguity
4.2
flagHigh polarization risk · do not ship as-is
The case
Pepsi × Kendall Jenner
· 2017

Pre-launch screen would have flagged the polarization risk

What happened

A 2-minute commercial showed Kendall Jenner handing a Pepsi to a riot-police officer, resolving political tension. Pulled within 48 hours of release after public backlash. Multiple internal sign-off layers had approved it.

What the platform would have surfaced

Pre-launch screen: frame-analytic check would have flagged the pair (cause-adjacent imagery + commercial brand) as a polarization-risk pattern. Verdict: High pre-launch polarization risk. Prescribed move: either kill the campaign, or reframe with two distinct released versions for two audience camps. The single-message version was the failure mode the framing literature has documented for 50 years.

Wells Fargo · fake accounts · 2016 (origin 2011)
Case study
2016 (origin 2011)
Wells Fargo · fake accounts
Frame-drift detection pattern
Doctrine pack · 05
Frame-drift detection

A specific narrative reappears across small, separate signals — consumer complaints, regulatory filings, sub-reddit threads — before it crystallizes into mainstream coverage. The narrative-seed window is typically 30-90 days. Catching it during the window allows proactive disclosure; missing it forces reactive defense.

menu_book

Research anchor: Entman · Journal of Communication · 1993 · investigative-journalism amplification research

Operational doctrine

Detect narrative resurfacing across small-signal sources. When the same frame appears across N+ separate channels within window, the doctrine triggers. Prescribed move: proactive disclosure within 30 days of detection — get ahead of the frame before it hardens in mainstream.

show_chartThe signal · Frame-drift timeline · 2011-2016 signal vs response
2013 · doctrine threshold2016 · WF responds

Signal visible by 2013. Response in 2016. 35-month gap.

The case
Wells Fargo · fake accounts
· 2016 (origin 2011)

Five-year reactive delay past the doctrine's window

What happened

From ~2011 to 2016, signals appeared across customer complaints, internal whistleblower filings, OCC investigations, and small-business sub-reddit threads. Wells Fargo's first major public acknowledgment came after the September 2016 CFPB fine. The 5-year delay produced a $185M fine, a CEO resignation, and a sales-incentive scandal that took 4+ years to recover from.

What the platform would have surfaced

By 2013 — narrative-seed pattern detected, frame resurfacing across 6+ separate signal types, durability crossing 18-month threshold. Verdict: Frame-drift, day 540 of window. Prescribed move: proactive disclosure within 30 days, internal investigation announcement, sales-incentive structural review. The 5-year reactive delay was 4 years and 10 months past the doctrine's intervention window.

And the case for restraint
Goldman Sachs · 2008 financial crisis · Sep–Dec 2008
Doctrine pack · 06
The Tuesday case

Goldman Sachs
fall 2008.

Within-band coverage that didn't need response

Sometimes the headlines are loud and the verdict is Tuesday (no action needed). Our normal-range detection separates real changes from noise that matches the brand's usual range. Most days, even bad-headline days, are Tuesdays.

menu_book

Research anchor: Normal-range (chronic-band) detection · within-pattern coverage research

show_chartThe signal · Daily score · Sep-Dec 2008 · within Goldman's chronic band
Sep 2008Dec 2008

Score oscillates within band. No sustained excursion. Stand down.

What happened · Sep–Dec 2008

From September to December 2008, Goldman Sachs was constantly in the news — TARP recipient, Lehman aftermath, Treasury connections, AIG bailout exposure. Day-by-day coverage was relentless and largely negative. But Goldman's broader narrative — "the best-managed firm on Wall Street" — held remarkably steady. CEO Blankfein took a stoic, restrained public posture, declined most interview requests, let the chronic-band carry the brand through.

What the platform would have surfaced

Across most of fall 2008, verdict = Tuesday (Goldman's normal range was already wide and volatile; daily scores fell within it). Prescribed move: stand down, restrain spokespeople, let the longer narrative carry. Engage only on specific frame-shifts (e.g., Senate testimony). Goldman's instinct against over-engagement was correct, and the normal-range doctrine would have validated it daily.

Operational doctrine: When today's score is within the brand's normal range, despite dramatic surface coverage, the prescribed move is stand down. Restraint is documented as the appropriate response.

04 · The mechanism

How the principles translate
into the platform.

Each principle shapes a specific platform surface. The principles aren't reverse-engineered from the platform — the platform is engineered from the principles.

Principle

Dissent is informative.

Platform surface

5-analyst council protocol

Enacted as

Dissent must defend itself. Audit log captures both the dissent and its defense. Verdict moves with the defenders.

5 analysts · 2 dissent
J
M
A
S
C
★ Dissent held the line
Principle

Restraint is a move.

Platform surface

Tuesday verdict + chronic-band detection

Enacted as

"Tuesday" means today is normal for this brand. "Chronic band" is the brand's usual range. The prescribed move includes "stand down" as a documented action — the same rigor as escalation.

Verdict · Tuesday
within chronic band · stand down
Principle

Reasoning must be visible.

Platform surface

State card provenance + Carol mediation log

Enacted as

A state card is the daily brief we deliver — one per brand. Every chip on it opens into the audit trail. Carol (our AI Intelligence Director) logs her revisions with their rationale.

Every chip opens up
5 analystsCarol verified ↓14 sourcesupdated 6m
✓ Pressure-tested · 1 claim revised down
Principle

Patterns have names.

Platform surface

Doctrine pack library (12 named patterns)

Enacted as

Each pack carries research anchor + operational rules. Cited verbatim in every prescribed move on a state card.

12 named patterns
menu_bookDoctrine pack
Brand polarization
Reichheld · HBR · 2003
Plus 11 more · all cited verbatim
Principle

Continuous beats periodic.

Platform surface

Adaptive scan cadence + Always-current pill

Enacted as

Daily → 6h → 3h → 1h based on escalation. The pill is the system property, not a marketing claim.

Always current
Daily
6h
3h
1h
Cadence tightens with escalation

Each principle is enacted in a specific surface you can pull on. Nothing is decorative.

05 · The artifact at scale

Across every category.
The same artifact, the same defense.

A state card is the daily brief we deliver — one per brand you track. Real production data, six categories below, each showing how the framework reads a different industry.

Industrial
Boeing
Boeing
today -3.85 · standing -1.50
Always current
Verdict · Polarized
Arc day 4/7·polarization pattern
audience splitting · the camps don't reach each other
Right now

Prepare both camps · holding statement ready

arrow_forwardFlip if

FAA or NTSB opens a formal inquiry

5 analysts·Carol verified·47 sources·re-evaluated 8m ago
EV
Tesla
Tesla
today -2.00 · standing -1.70
Always current
Verdict · Tuesday
Arc day 4/7·within chronic band
within Tesla's chronic band · no action needed
Right now

Hold position · holding statement ready

arrow_forwardFlip if

Mainstream national pickup of NJ fatality

5 analysts·Carol verified·23 sources·re-evaluated 6m ago
Retail
Trader Joe's
Trader Joe's
today -4.20 · standing 0.60
Always current
Verdict · Crisis
Arc day 2/14·regulatory pattern
FACTA filing risk · regulatory exposure
Right now

Ship holding statement today · legal review escalated

arrow_forwardFlip if

FACTA complaint becomes formal CFPB action

5 analysts·Carol verified·31 sources·re-evaluated 4m ago
EV
Rivian
Rivian
today 1.40 · standing -0.20
Always current
Verdict · Watch
Arc day 3/14·launch amplification
R2 reveal lifting · positive arc accelerating
Right now

Amplify launch coverage · prep launch-week amplifier kit

arrow_forwardFlip if

Negative review from credible source

5 analysts·Carol verified·28 sources·re-evaluated 12m ago
Athlete
LeBron James
LeBron James
today -0.21 · standing -0.96
Always current
Verdict · Watch
Arc day 12/30·narrative-seed pattern
narrative-seed planted · dissent caught it
Right now

Amplify legacy moments · reinforce on-court relevance

arrow_forwardFlip if

Counter-narrative emerges in 48h

5 analysts·Carol verified·14 sources·re-evaluated 14m ago
Public figure
RFK Jr.
RFK Jr.
today -1.50 · standing -1.20
Always current
Verdict · Hold
Arc day 5/14·institutional dissent
resignation-letter arc · monitoring institutional spread
Right now

Holding statement ready · no public engagement today

arrow_forwardFlip if

Broadcast TV runs the 1,000-employee letter as investigative segment

5 analysts·Carol verified·19 sources·re-evaluated 22m ago

Different categories. Same artifact. Same defense.

Try it

On a brand you pick.

Tell us a brand. We'll deliver the daily brief our beta operators see every day — by email, no calendar, in 48 hours.

Send me a state cardarrow_forward

The research was already there. We built the workflow that finally uses it.